Consumers' Outlook On US Economy Sinks To 12-Year Low

Woman checking an expensive grocery receipt

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The Consumer Confidence Index has dropped to its lowest level since January 2021, reflecting growing concerns among U.S. consumers about the state of the economy. This decline indicates that Americans are increasingly worried about economic conditions, job security, and personal finances.

According to The Conference Board, which tracks consumer sentiment, this drop in confidence is linked to various economic challenges. These include rising inflation, fluctuating job markets, and concerns over financial stability. The index serves as a key indicator of consumer spending, which is a significant driver of the U.S. economy.

The report found that consumers are very pessimistic about the short-term outlook for the economy, with the Expectations Index falling to a 12-year low of 65.2. That is well below a score of 80, which usually indicates a recession is on the horizon.

"Consumers’ expectations were especially gloomy, with pessimism about future business conditions deepening and confidence about future employment prospects falling to a 12-year low. Meanwhile, consumers’ optimism about future income—which had held up quite strongly in the past few months—largely vanished, suggesting worries about the economy and labor market have started to spread into consumers’ assessments of their personal situations," said Stephanie Guichard, Senior Economist, Global Indicators at The Conference Board.

The Conference Board provides insights into how consumer confidence affects economic activities. When confidence is low, consumers tend to reduce spending, which can lead to slower economic growth. This trend is concerning for businesses and policymakers who rely on consumer spending to fuel economic expansion.


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